No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.75K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $255
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $58.6
Polymarket Trader
DeverNoom
@DeverNoom
0x529d3986c62df484bf34400f655432c5703d6381
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.43K
- Realized PnL
- $3.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $40.97
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$29.58
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $1.97K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $125.98
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $63.61
Yes position
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $19.37
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$42.99
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $33.3
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.03
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $374.75
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $8.07
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $285.07
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $198.03
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $330
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $270
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$76.8
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $516.25
- Potential payout
- $555.11
- Potential profit
- $38.86
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $38.86
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $11.75
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $488.23
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.1%
- Current value
- $120.24
- Potential payout
- $499.95
- Potential profit
- $379.71
- Multiplier
- 4.16x
- User PnL
- -$24.59
No position
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $427.45
- Potential payout
- $499.94
- Potential profit
- $72.49
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $30.24
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $450
- User PnL
- -$56.5
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $356
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $44
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $78.55
- Potential payout
- $308.05
- Potential profit
- $229.49
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$5.05
No position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $226.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $73.5
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $268.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $31.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Will Romelu Lukaku score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $223.49
- Potential payout
- $299.98
- Potential profit
- $76.5
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $182.05
- Potential payout
- $222.01
- Potential profit
- $39.96
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $41.74
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $165
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $35
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $119
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $81
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392
Yes position
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.42
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.6
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.99
Yes position
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.12
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.04
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $155.5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.76
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.42
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.08
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.35
Yes position
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.81
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.32
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.83
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.03
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $94.78
No position
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.83
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.71
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 60% 22 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 0.4% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.5% 99.99 shares
- Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?No 74% 45.2 shares
- Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?No 92.6% 167.29 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?Yes 93.2% 300 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 77% 250 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes 27% 198.86 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?No 29% 16.57 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes 67% 62.66 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 93% 600 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes 79% 100 shares