Polymarket Trader

0x529e9fa71e9314AF359d4CBeBbAE90ac8dd7C7FE-1769586137273

0x529e9fa71e9314af359d4cbebbae90ac8dd7c7fe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.03
Realized PnL: $32.61
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $7.69
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: Other

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.37
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.21
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$1.67

No position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $8.16
Potential profit: $7.32
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$2.26

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.3%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $7.52
Potential profit: $2.84
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.56
Multiplier: 11.36x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will An Byeong-hun leave LIV Golf by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: $0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Bryson DeChambeau leave LIV Golf by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Lee Westwood leave LIV Golf by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,210,000 and $1,220,000 on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,210,000 and $1,220,000 on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will An Byeong-hun leave LIV Golf by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Bryson DeChambeau leave LIV Golf by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Lee Westwood leave LIV Golf by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.2%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 66.5% 7.52 shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 38% 13.16 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 75.7% 10 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 75.8% 10 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

No 68% 5 shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

No 53% 9.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Down 64% 7.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Down 46% 10.87 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Up 41% 12.2 shares
Will An Byeong-hun leave LIV Golf by June 30th?

Yes 40% 5 shares
Will An Byeong-hun leave LIV Golf by June 30th?

Yes 20% 4.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Up 50% 4.82 shares