Polymarket Trader

0x52a4...ebc1

0x52a405f142c3cd21216e4a55b7c66977bd09ebc1

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $83.55
Realized PnL: $293.57
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.35
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $9.48
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $49.34
Multiplier: 6.20x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $33.13
Potential payout: $33.13
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $13.13

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.3%
Current value: $8.87
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $14.94
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $10.49
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $9.12
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 51.4%
Current value: $9.69
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $9.18
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 29.2%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $16.77
Potential profit: $11.87
Multiplier: 3.42x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $4.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.35
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.32
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: -$1.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.29

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.94

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.82

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.06

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.28

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.29

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.34

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.6%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $9.04

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.54

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.09

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48

Yes position

Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 50% 10 shares
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Yes 29.8% 16.77 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 51% 19.61 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 59.8% 16.74 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 61% 16.39 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 53% 18.87 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 16.13 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Yes 32% 9.38 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 73% 27.4 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 72% 6.94 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 27% 11.11 shares