Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69K
- Potential profit
- $7.69K
- User PnL
- -$23.07
Polymarket Trader
xinyuan
0x52ee6e7196709274b0a024a933ad6cfd7b972f52
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.46K
- Realized PnL
- $8.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Hornets position
Hornets vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.31K
- Potential profit
- $6.31K
- User PnL
- -$193.03
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $2.79K
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $105.85
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $105.85
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$1.34K
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $737.05
- Potential payout
- $781.19
- Potential profit
- $44.14
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $41.79
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $443.56
- Potential payout
- $551
- Potential profit
- $107.45
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $442.81
- Potential profit
- $442.81
- User PnL
- -$302.16
No position
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $142.12
- Potential payout
- $152
- Potential profit
- $9.88
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $128.99
- Potential payout
- $133.32
- Potential profit
- $4.33
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $107.06
- Potential payout
- $117
- Potential profit
- $9.94
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $399.76
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $143.59
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $23.61
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.84
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.22
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.55
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.02
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.08
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.94
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.41
Yes position
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.36
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.08
Yes position
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.01
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.49
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 81% 551 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No 91% 117 shares
- Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No 93% 152 shares
- Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.3% 1,200 shares
- Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No 96.4% 133.32 shares
- Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.3% 1,200 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes 97.1% 25 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 98.6% 54 shares
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 99.9% 130 shares
- Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?Yes 6% 10,086.56 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 12.1% 1,974.05 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 11.8% 43.86 shares