Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
priestar
0x52f13f6da3b7b87382bece910fe016c6453548a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.07
- Realized PnL
- $354.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $438.39
- Potential profit
- $435.76
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $134.69
- Potential profit
- $134.63
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
No position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $23.72
- Potential payout
- $96.81
- Potential profit
- $73.09
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $8.72
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.62
- Potential profit
- $87.62
- User PnL
- -$2.59
No position
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.06
- Potential profit
- $72.06
- User PnL
- -$14.26
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.89
- Potential profit
- $58.89
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.91
- Potential profit
- $43.91
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.36
- Potential profit
- $36.36
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $34.67
- Potential profit
- $33.58
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Yes position
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.2
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
No position
ChatGPT Outage by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.79
- Potential profit
- $29.79
- User PnL
- -$21.7
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.4
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $26.93
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $15.83
- Potential profit
- $15.79
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $15.24
- Potential profit
- $15.23
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.99
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $13.04
- Potential profit
- $12.98
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Yes position
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Ayatollah" during trophy presentation?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $11.76
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.1
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $10.12
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.88
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
G2 position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.73
- Potential profit
- $9.73
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.37
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.6
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.7
No position
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.43
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.08
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.67
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01
No position
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 28 over 30% on Friday?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
No position
Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.44
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Yes position
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.47
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
Yes position
Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $3.86
MOUZ position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.78
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?No 12% 83.33 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 0.1% 8,440 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 93.75 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 0.1% 1,630 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 49% 3.33 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 0.1% 4,850 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes 12.6% 38.46 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 0.1% 4,390 shares
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group BFaZe 17% 26.46 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 0.1% 13,190 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 59% 22.35 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 0.1% 9,020 shares