No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $2.23K
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $556.65
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $167
Polymarket Trader
png1024
0x52f518bd4e1fc7fdf25a366343d06127d27119da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.23K
- Realized PnL
- $80.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $6.92K
No position
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71K
No position
Israel military action against Iran in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49K
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3K
Yes position
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.75K
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?
Ends Feb 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
No position
Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
No position
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Marlins position
Marlins vs. Nationals
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No 97% 10 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Yes 10.3% 1,016.04 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 98.6% 48,074.99 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 61% 1,274.88 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 64% 3,568.48 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 64% 9,267.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 19% 5,413.4 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 98.8% 48,074.99 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Yes 15.7% 1,016.04 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 90% 333.66 shares
- Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?No 96.3% 612 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 74% 15,941.03 shares