No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.2
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- User PnL
- -$6.05
Polymarket Trader
zrsmatthew
0x52f7f54d938bcb202059246173cf45825baa99ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.72
- Realized PnL
- $17.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.16
- Potential profit
- $7.16
- User PnL
- -$5.1
No position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $6.08
- Potential payout
- $6.09
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.09
- Potential payout
- $6.09
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $5.8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $5.31
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $3.45
- Potential payout
- $3.58
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $3.16
- Potential payout
- $3.39
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $3.08
- Potential payout
- $3.11
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $3.08
- Potential payout
- $3.1
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.06
- Potential payout
- $3.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2.99
- Potential payout
- $3.02
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Blue wave in 2026?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 16-19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 80 and 90?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be between $90M and $110M at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on April 12?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on April 5?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 73% 6.4 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 94.9% 3.98 shares
- Blue wave in 2026?Yes 66% 3.24 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 74% 8.04 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 96% 5.31 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No 87% 0.74 shares
- Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be between $90M and $110M at market close on IPO day?No 98% 6.12 shares
- Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?No 91.9% 3.55 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 96.2% 3.98 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 95.9% 5.21 shares
- Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No 96.8% 3.1 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on April 12?No 98.7% 4.01 shares