No position
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $626.86
- Potential payout
- $741.84
- Potential profit
- $114.99
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $122.1
Polymarket Trader
howdoesitmakeyoufeel
0x53059e9bd59ac40a6f907878a014d784e9bc57b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $875.58
- Realized PnL
- $1.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $5.69
- Potential payout
- $455
- Potential profit
- $449.31
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $390
- Potential profit
- $390
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $6.11
- Potential payout
- $285.55
- Potential profit
- $279.44
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $18.11
- Potential payout
- $214.29
- Potential profit
- $196.18
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- $3.11
N
No position
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $195
- Potential profit
- $195
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $38.3
- Potential payout
- $160.59
- Potential profit
- $122.29
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $13.36
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $5.51
- Potential payout
- $157.49
- Potential profit
- $151.98
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.27
- Potential profit
- $109.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.27
- Potential profit
- $109.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.27
- Potential profit
- $109.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.27
- Potential profit
- $109.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.27
- Potential profit
- $109.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.27
- Potential profit
- $109.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.27
- Potential profit
- $109.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.27
- Potential profit
- $109.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.27
- Potential profit
- $109.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.27
- Potential profit
- $109.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.27
- Potential profit
- $109.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.27
- Potential profit
- $109.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.27
- Potential profit
- $109.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.27
- Potential profit
- $109.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.27
- Potential profit
- $109.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.26
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.25
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.2
Argentina position
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 19% 25.42 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 5.3% 93.68 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes 7% 70.86 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 12% 41.17 shares
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?Yes 2.6% 74.37 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Yes 7% 214.29 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes 34.5% 28.99 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes 17.5% 114.29 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes 64% 10 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes 11% 44.91 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 15.8% 31.13 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes 17.8% 27.3 shares