No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Polymarket Trader
shwanhk123
0x53099763624036693f4e8278cb00cb4913f34c9c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $126.68
- Realized PnL
- $676.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$373.69
No position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $850
- User PnL
- -$12.45
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $447.98
- Potential profit
- $447.98
- User PnL
- -$23.88
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $424.74
- Potential profit
- $424.74
- User PnL
- -$21.24
Yes position
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $345.11
- Potential profit
- $345.11
- User PnL
- -$116.43
Yes position
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $259.99
- Potential profit
- $259.99
- User PnL
- -$10.14
No position
Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.99
- Potential profit
- $243.99
- User PnL
- -$20.64
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.59
- Potential profit
- $240.59
- User PnL
- -$24.13
No position
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $213.59
- Potential profit
- $213.59
- User PnL
- -$32.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $175
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $168.3
- Potential profit
- $163.67
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$12.2
No position
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $60.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $89.25
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.99
- Potential profit
- $129.99
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.64
- Potential profit
- $104.64
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $77.5
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $8.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91.95
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.25
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.81
No position
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.05
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.98
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.5
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.99
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $31.05
No position
Will "Algorithm" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.95
Yes position
Will "Data Center" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.47
Yes position
Will "Prediction" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.4
No position
Will "Ran to Atlanta - Drake, Future & Molly Santana" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.4
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.14
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.44
Yes position
Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.43
Yes position
Will "Economy" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.85
Yes position
Will "Disruptive" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will "Innovation" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.49
No position
Will "Dude" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.94
Yes position
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3
Carole Monnet position
Oeiras 4: Greet Minnen vs Carole Monnet
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Will "Amortization" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Yes position
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.56
No position
Will "Macroeconomy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.9% 100 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 14% 200 shares
- Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 20% 100 shares
- Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 70% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown 63% 7.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp 62% 8.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp 63% 7.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETUp 61% 8.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp 61% 8.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETUp 61% 8.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETDown 63% 7.94 shares