Polymarket Trader

EvSandels

0x531217e27ab2c4c2f9207f3e05f731388c26f274

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.63
Realized PnL: $520.93
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $413.68
Potential profit: $413.68
User PnL: -$98.47

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $21.76
Potential payout: $319.98
Potential profit: $298.22
Multiplier: 14.71x
User PnL: -$33.94

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.27
Potential profit: $127.27
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $88.79
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$46.18

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$18.64

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.85
Potential profit: $50.85
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

$60k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$6.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.56
Potential profit: $32.56
User PnL: -$10

No position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$13.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $7.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $17.38
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $9.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10.9
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" or "Nuclear" 5+ times during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.35
Potential profit: $17.35
User PnL: -$11

No position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$9.18

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.36
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.02

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.91

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.11

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.61

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.9

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.98

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.43

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.8

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.92

Yes position

Will Trump say "Jew" or "Jewish" 10+ times during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 59% 119.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Up 13% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Up 40% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Up 38% 20.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Up 24% 20.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Down 26% 19.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Down 28% 17.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Down 34% 14.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Up 38% 13.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Up 34% 14.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Down 55% 16.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Down 31% 16.13 shares