Yes position
Blast airdrop by May?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $531.22
- Potential profit
- $531.22
- User PnL
- -$159.79
Polymarket Trader
moyai
0x531990b16e026f977031475892650cf1dfb5f256
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $24.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $200.01
- User PnL
- -$160.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.62K
No position
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
Yes position
OpenAI browser in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $857.62
Yes position
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468.48
No position
EigenLayer airdrop by April?
Ends Apr 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465.09
No position
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?
Ends Nov 19, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $437.26
No position
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.67
Yes position
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.24
No position
Will JUP be below $0.40 one day after airdrop?
Ends Jan 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.4
N
No position
Will the KyberSwap hacker return 50% of the exploited funds by Dec 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.45
No position
Will STRK be below $1 one day after airdrop?
Ends Feb 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.22
No position
Binance insolvent in 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.08
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.23
Yes position
Arbitrum token FDV >$5b one week after launch?
Ends Mar 30, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.88
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Was @SECGov really hacked?
Ends Jan 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.71
Yes position
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $60m opening weekend?
Ends Oct 29, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.8
No position
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
Ends Jan 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.15
Yes position
Celestia token above $1 one week after airdrop?
Ends Nov 6, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.68
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.92
No position
Will Solana Network go down in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.67
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.7
No position
US military intervention by Oct 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.6% 10 shares
- Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes 94.7% 15 shares
- Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Yes 87.2% 100 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No 95% 153.24 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes 75% 343.25 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No 64% 1,511.26 shares
- Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes 87.6% 31 shares
- OpenAI browser by October 31?Yes 99.2% 1,490 shares
- OpenAI browser by October 31?Yes 99.1% 2,000 shares
- OpenAI browser by October 31?Yes 74% 1,831.72 shares
- OpenAI browser by October 31?Yes 73% 354.33 shares
- OpenAI browser by October 31?Yes 78% 2,483.34 shares