Polymarket Trader

anarchtica

0x531c94af5fd9c4f7de56d1f6056957dba06a1085

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.41K
Realized PnL: -$262.39
Win rate: 56.5%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $196.45
Potential payout: $253.48
Potential profit: $57.03
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$3.55

Yes position

Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Ends Jul 27, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $102.17
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $115.22
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $33.63
Potential payout: $197.82
Potential profit: $164.19
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$62.69

Yes position

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $52.3
Potential payout: $197.37
Potential profit: $145.07
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$22.7

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $89.42
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $102.88
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$10.58

Yes position

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $89.05
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $67.2
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$10.95

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $92.46
Potential payout: $142.25
Potential profit: $49.79
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$7.54

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $80.26
Potential payout: $128.41
Potential profit: $48.15
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$19.74

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $61.02
Potential payout: $127.12
Potential profit: $66.1
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$13.98

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $97.88
Potential payout: $116.52
Potential profit: $18.64
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $22.88

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $97.09
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $19.19
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$2.91

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $99.39
Potential payout: $114.24
Potential profit: $14.85
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $48.86
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $64.77
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$1.14

No position

Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $73.96
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $30.21
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $73.12
Potential payout: $93.15
Potential profit: $20.03
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $42.27
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $48.64
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$7.73

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $47.78
Potential payout: $83.83
Potential profit: $36.06
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $35.56
Potential payout: $70.41
Potential profit: $34.85
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$14.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Timberwolves position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.03

Wolves position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.18

Yes position

Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.76

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.8

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.76

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.17

Yes position

Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.25

Yes position

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.19

Spurs position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.69

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.82

Spurs position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

No position

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.97

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$39.74

No position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$43.34

Celtics position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$75

Spurs position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$75.17

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Magic position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$175

Magic position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$250

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Yes 46% 217.39 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 46% 32.61 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 47% 53.19 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 21.9% 228.31 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 21.1% 1,583 shares
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 27.8% 216.91 shares
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 16.6% 150 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 33% 75.76 shares
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Spurs 91% 54.95 shares
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Spurs 80% 62.5 shares
Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Spurs 78% 96.15 shares
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Spurs 83% 60.24 shares