Polymarket Trader

3675777

0x53224176b413f20ac63d61f1a0e19002ffb38acb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.72K
Realized PnL: $1.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $13.72K
Potential payout: $17.47K
Potential profit: $3.76K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.86K

No position

Will Simu Liu score in the 2026 Celebrity All-Star Game MVP?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $2.83K
User PnL: -$99.68

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $571.43
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.99
Potential profit: $255.99
User PnL: -$119.48

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.29
Potential profit: $235.29
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Sophi Balerdi win Survivor season 49?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.51
Potential profit: $170.51
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Mustard score in the 2026 Celebrity All-Star Game MVP?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.5

No position

Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ass" or "Shit" this week? (January 11)

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313

No position

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.59

No position

Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.69

Yes position

Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.17

No position

Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.2

No position

Will Mamdani say "Rent" or "Landlord" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.22

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.85

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 93.4%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $31.65

Yes position

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during his FOX Noticias interview?

Ends Apr 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.02

Yes position

Will Trump say "Go ahead" 3+ times during healthcare event?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.22

Yes position

Will a candidate say "Crime" 10+ times during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.63

No position

Will Mamdani say "MTA" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

No position

Will Mamdani say "Minnesota" or "Minneapolis" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.43

No position

Will Mamdani say "President" or "Trump" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43

Yes position

Will Mamdani say "Support" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63

No position

Will Mamdani say "Mission" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will Mamdani say "Free Bus" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.87

No position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during his FOX Noticias interview?

Ends Apr 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will Trump say "Housing" or "Home" during NewsNation interview?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 20 - 26)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Trump say "EU" or "European Union" during healthcare event?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)

No 35.4% 460.55 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 4.8% 300 shares
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 62.7% 52.86 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 70.7% 272.92 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 75.1% 6.26 shares
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 20 - 26)

Yes 99% 134.77 shares
Will Trump say "Go ahead" 3+ times during healthcare event?

Yes 52.3% 505 shares
Will Trump say "EU" or "European Union" during healthcare event?

No 99.9% 389.97 shares
Will Trump say "No No No" during healthcare event?

No 99.9% 243.72 shares
Will Trump say "Autism" during healthcare event?

No 99.9% 294.23 shares
Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during healthcare event?

No 99.9% 374.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Down 13% 9.94 shares