Clarmy

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.51
Potential payout: $5.02K
Potential profit: $5.02K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.3
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $46.26
Potential profit: $45.89
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.12
Potential profit: $33.12
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $20.12
Potential profit: $19.16
Multiplier: 20.83x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $12.75
Potential profit: $12.65
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.35
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.78
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.8
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $5.66
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $6.26
Potential profit: $5.29
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $5.66
Potential profit: $4.81
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.38
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $3.48
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $2.92
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $2.37
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $2.31
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $3.04
Potential profit: $2.01
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 18?