Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $12.42
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Polymarket Trader
thefinestofthem
0x5339e4b07999000b530c7483ce94976af4be3900
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.25
- Realized PnL
- $2.77
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $6.42
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.16
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $6.23
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $8.4
- Potential profit
- $7.38
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $5.46
- Potential profit
- $4.39
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.15
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.69
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Spain position
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
England position
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No 46% 2.17 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 59% 1.69 shares
- Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland 98% 11.22 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 90.2% 2.22 shares
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain 89.7% 5.57 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 84% 1.19 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?No 0.1% 10.49 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?No 15% 6.67 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 97.7% 6.08 shares
- William Saliba: 1+ shots on target AND France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Will France win on 2026-07-09?64.2% 1.52 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 63.7% 3.14 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes 80% 1.25 shares