Polymarket Trader

Thankgod41

0x5343da3bfb3d90765674ef5ffc1f232bf3919808

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2
Realized PnL: $189.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.87
Potential profit: $139.87
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.55
Potential profit: $111.55
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.42
Potential profit: $84.42
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73
Potential profit: $73
User PnL: -$11.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.47
Potential profit: $67.47
User PnL: -$5.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.59
Potential profit: $63.59
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $54.78
Potential profit: $52.78
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.53
Potential profit: $50.53
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.93
Potential profit: $38.93
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.11
Potential profit: $36.11
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.95
Potential profit: $35.95
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.68
Potential profit: $34.68
User PnL: -$2.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.07
Potential profit: $34.07
User PnL: -$8.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.11
Potential profit: $31.11
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.65
Potential profit: $30.65
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.22
Potential profit: $30.22
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.21
Potential profit: $28.21
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.79
Potential profit: $26.79
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.5
Potential profit: $26.5
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.44
Potential profit: $23.44
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.53
Potential profit: $22.53
User PnL: -$3.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 22.4% 12.52 shares
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 4.6% 34.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 48% 9.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 23% 4.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 15.1% 15.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 22.1% 15.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 5.3% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 5% 22.83 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 15.2% 22.83 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 11.1% 26.17 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 12.8% 26.17 shares