Polymarket Trader

Shaman

0x534b4d69ca7d9266248a08e8c85beef2fc493bdb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.1
Realized PnL: $38.45
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $26.6
Potential payout: $26.6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $11.29
Potential payout: $11.46
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26
Potential profit: $2.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Jacoby position

Petrino vs. Jacoby

Ends Dec 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Yes position

Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will PNL win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Biden campaign accepts crypto donations before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will Liberia win on 2025-10-13?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Naimov position

Naimov vs. Ofli

Ends Feb 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will another party win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will XRP dip to $1.50 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Elon tweet 175–189 times June 13–20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will XRP reach $3.50 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Elon tweet 190–204 times June 13–20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Elon tweet 205–219 times June 13–20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Bo Nix start Week 1 for the Broncos?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Elon tweet 220–234 times June 13–20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Jul 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Up 94% 26.6 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?

No 99.6% 334 shares
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

No 75.1% 1.33 shares
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 44.2% 2.26 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?

No 99.7% 334 shares
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 73% 2.74 shares
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 76% 2.63 shares
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 96% 11.46 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 46.8% 4.27 shares
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?

No 99.7% 1,504.51 shares
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?

No 99.7% 1,504.51 shares
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 90% 2.22 shares