Polymarket Trader

liMAX

0x5358eb1d9f31b884c22c4bccac4857d56d9d4e1c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $121.96
Realized PnL: $448.93
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $342.86
Potential profit: $342.86
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $96.84
Potential payout: $248.63
Potential profit: $151.79
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $51.84

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.88
Potential profit: $164.88
User PnL: -$105.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.2
Potential profit: $137.2
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.99
Potential profit: $56.99
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.67
Potential profit: $46.67
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $16.06
Potential payout: $16.32
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $9.06
Potential payout: $10.85
Potential profit: $1.79
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.57

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.82

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.16

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.25

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.77

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.86

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.86

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.18

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.74

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.74

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.84

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.84

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.3%
Multiplier: 4.71x
User PnL: $5.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42

Yes position

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?

Yes 91.3% 16.32 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?

No 25% 18.07 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.9% 27.62 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?

No 81% 18.07 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 59.5% 25.09 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 84% 6.82 shares
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Yes 24% 24.48 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 59.5% 25.09 shares
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Yes 24.5% 24.49 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.2% 112.78 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 82% 4.02 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 57.47 shares