Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $94.08
- Potential payout
- $3.3K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Polymarket Trader
Pajos
0x535e4fa0c263c6f01ddc8a8042d0650e99c16af7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.21K
- Realized PnL
- -$389.92
- Win rate
- 76.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $99
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $70
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $21.07
No position
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $5.42
- Potential payout
- $5.48
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.84
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.08
Yes position
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
MANA eSports position
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group C
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Nemiga position
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
HyperSpirit position
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group C
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.94
Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$105.3
Yes position
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$109.44
No position
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$216.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 94% 6.26 shares
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 0.4% 1,097.92 shares
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 10% 1,097.92 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 97.8% 112.07 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 92% 521.64 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 91.1% 548.96 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?Yes 97.7% 246 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No 99.3% 206.35 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?Yes 95.8% 22.43 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?Yes 93.8% 5.33 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 95.6% 516.01 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4.7% 2,000 shares