Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.1%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- Multiplier
- 3.98x
- User PnL
- -$373.96
Polymarket Trader
Ricpb
0x535ec2dccf77489cc0d1453f088344a2995fccd9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.38K
- Realized PnL
- $29.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.89K
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $373.29
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $482.16
No position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $764.99
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $235
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $125
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $724
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $76
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.1K
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next video?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652.28
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $622.99
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.41
No position
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.69
No position
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.81
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $430
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.96
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 65 million views on day 3?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.56
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $260
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 46 million views on day 2?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.19
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be at least 1850 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No 97.6% 50.52 shares
- Will there be at least 1850 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No 97.4% 58.07 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?Yes 91% 199.98 shares
- Will MrBeast say "Thank You" during his next video?Yes 60% 9.22 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 63% 2,000 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 56% 232.39 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2?Yes 9% 983.55 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?No 13% 938.45 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 1.5% 348.77 shares
- Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next video?Yes 46% 410 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No 59% 140 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 1.7% 36 shares