Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $950
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$95
Polymarket Trader
0x5363d898081Ae07c485d1cfB87661c00FC233544-1772742690008
0x5363d898081ae07c485d1cfb87661c00fc233544
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $950
- Realized PnL
- $664.04
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $559.98
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.62
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.27
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.39
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.53
Yes position
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$180.84
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$215.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes 0.4% 1,499.95 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes 0.4% 107.01 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No 40% 737.5 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes 27.5% 680.46 shares
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?Yes 22% 88.78 shares
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?Yes 64% 92.74 shares
- Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?Yes 88.8% 101.3 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 63% 158.73 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 64% 156.25 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 64% 156.29 shares