No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $955
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $45
Polymarket Trader
httpteapot
0x53658df30e572ccffa0593653af5b7d7337c71fc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.04K
- Realized PnL
- $704.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$18
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $83.89
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $27.22
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $2.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.93
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.6
No position
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $54
Yes position
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.2
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.1
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.1
No position
Macron out by October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.01
Yes position
Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.49
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.4
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.76
No position
French election called by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.8
No position
French election called by October 17?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.93
No position
GPT ads by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
No position
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Next French confidence vote passes?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 15% 300 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?Yes 82.7% 142 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?No 6% 59.99 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?Yes 92% 131.13 shares
- Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 29)Yes 99.9% 200 shares
- Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 29)Yes 71% 81 shares
- Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes 97.8% 2,000 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 9% 200 shares
- Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?No 98.2% 700.39 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes 72% 25 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No 85% 103.45 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes 68.8% 189.54 shares