Yes position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $32.35
- Potential payout
- $3.81K
- Potential profit
- $3.77K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Polymarket Trader
mooreel89
0x536f8d9f96899e02d7f0a41cd211377496f0ca28
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $185.64
- Realized PnL
- -$308.25
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.96K
- Potential profit
- $1.96K
- User PnL
- -$271.66
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $120.09
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $28.27
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
No position
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $832.94
- Potential profit
- $832.94
- User PnL
- -$94.31
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.43
- Potential profit
- $171.43
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $164.65
- Potential profit
- $161.27
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$3.21
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.44
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$304.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 7.4% 1,455.61 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Yes 11.3% 949.15 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Yes 13% 190.31 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Yes 11.9% 335.69 shares
- Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.9% 3,805.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 63% 52.85 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Yes 21% 95.24 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Yes 21% 95.24 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Yes 21% 95.24 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Yes 21% 95.24 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Yes 20.2% 99.22 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?Yes 5% 40 shares