No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x537b0826Dc0204F88F8a73c422Ab6092bC90cbdA-1772945939942
0x537b0826dc0204f88f8a73c422ab6092bc90cbda
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $26.68
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Powell say "Volatile" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETDown 88% 1.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp 96% 5.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETUp 88% 5.68 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 99.6% 5.25 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No 86% 1.16 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 95.2% 5.25 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 96% 5.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp 19% 8.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp 56% 8.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETUp 79% 6.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETDown 90% 5.54 shares