Polymarket Trader

0xPoni

0x53819cad51e6479a90ffb21ca9121a021cb91ec5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.07K
Realized PnL: $841.89
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $43.33
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $45.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $334.35
Potential profit: $334.35
User PnL: -$16.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276
Potential profit: $276
User PnL: -$7.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$23.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.65
Potential profit: $64.65
User PnL: -$64

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Warriors

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: -$10

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Jazz

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $12.66
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.34

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.81

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.53

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.84

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.95

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.38

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.58

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 2AM ET

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12AM ET

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.28

No position

Will B8 win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 92% 21.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

No 40.5% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

No 91% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 82% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 94% 764.34 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

No 99.1% 90.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

No 92.8% 84 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

No 92.7% 6.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

No 93.4% 421.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

No 64% 154.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

No 79% 154.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

No 43.5% 555.94 shares