Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $515.46K
- Potential profit
- $515.46K
- User PnL
- -$5.4K
Polymarket Trader
VinceShelby
0x53821614977237082ab6ece055657b9d0438f18f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.2K
- Realized PnL
- $124.89K
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.81K
- Potential profit
- $171.81K
- User PnL
- -$33.42K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $19.2K
- Potential payout
- $48.6K
- Potential profit
- $29.4K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $697.77
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.38K
- Potential profit
- $23.38K
- User PnL
- -$999.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.23K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.21K
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $755.92
Yes position
25% steel tariff in effect before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $439.87
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.33
Yes position
25% aluminum tariff in effect before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.84
Yes position
Lula out before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.85
Lakers position
Hornets vs. Lakers
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$172.23
Yes position
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$310.23
Yes position
Will Fury beat Usyk?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$596.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 39% 12,820.51 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 38.1% 9,184.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 38% 13,157.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 37.2% 13,439.13 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No 4.3% 23,384.9 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 1.5% 66,752.88 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 1% 41,107.01 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 1% 345,103.64 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 62,500 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 99.8% 9,713.65 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 95.2% 13,613.73 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 94.1% 20,000 shares