Polymarket Trader

0x5386f502eC4cA4091F0b6aAaF892e4237Cd2bBc3-1723461937873

0x5386f502ec4ca4091f0b6aaaf892e4237cd2bbc3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $45.86
Realized PnL: $665.56
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will another candidate be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.7K
Potential profit: $5.7K
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.32K
Potential profit: $3.32K
User PnL: -$3.32

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 9AM ET

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$539.72

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $793.42
Potential profit: $793.42
User PnL: -$396.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9AM ET

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.9
Potential profit: $304.9
User PnL: -$153.5

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.23
Potential profit: $299.23
User PnL: -$149.62

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $278.34
Potential profit: $278.34
User PnL: -$139.17

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.76
Potential profit: $230.76
User PnL: -$115.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 1PM ET

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.2
Potential profit: $213.2
User PnL: -$108.73

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.55
Potential profit: $204.55
User PnL: -$102.28

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.3%
Current value: $45.86
Potential payout: $113.93
Potential profit: $68.07
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: -$21.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.55

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.9

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 26, 5AM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.35

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.74

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.53

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.51

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40%
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 60%
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Jim Walden win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 50% 205.45 shares
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Up 50% 230.76 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 50% 278.34 shares
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Down 50% 294.48 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Up 50% 201.31 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 79% 112.09 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 21% 891.67 shares
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

No 15% 404.18 shares
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Yes 85% 1,004.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 1PM ET

Up 51% 213.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4AM ET

Up 51% 429.45 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Down 51% 138.24 shares