Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Polymarket Trader
zwp
0x539b2fb01e41bb2f18f5afd4baa82a1534d9624c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $545.86
- Realized PnL
- $810.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $274.83
- Potential profit
- $274.83
- User PnL
- -$38.46
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $260
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.19
- Potential profit
- $214.19
- User PnL
- -$2.42
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $46
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $154
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.61
- Potential profit
- $161.61
- User PnL
- -$4.93
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $101.6
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $58.4
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.6
- Potential profit
- $158.6
- User PnL
- -$34.85
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $71.76
- Potential payout
- $156
- Potential profit
- $84.24
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $30.08
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $143.25
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.13
- Potential profit
- $148.13
- User PnL
- -$15.98
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $6.83
- Potential payout
- $139.45
- Potential profit
- $132.62
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- $5.94
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.04
- Potential profit
- $137.04
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.99
- Potential profit
- $135.99
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $129.99
- Potential profit
- $127.26
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $10.98
- Potential payout
- $129.98
- Potential profit
- $118.99
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- $7.79
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.69
- Potential profit
- $127.69
- User PnL
- -$9.01
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $7.14
- Potential payout
- $121.98
- Potential profit
- $114.84
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
No position
Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $81.24
- Potential payout
- $118.6
- Potential profit
- $37.36
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $29.06
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $16.3
- Potential payout
- $118.58
- Potential profit
- $102.28
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
NFL Sunday Week 8: Will an underdog win?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $99.4
- Potential payout
- $105.63
- Potential profit
- $6.23
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $13.57
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $13.12
- Potential payout
- $104.98
- Potential profit
- $91.86
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $82
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $18
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.59
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $148.23
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $107.33
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $53.94
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $45.47
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.73
No position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.71
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.92
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.31
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.69
No position
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $19.11
Yes position
Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.78
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.29
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.08
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $11.4
No position
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $9.37
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $9.21
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
No position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?Yes 16% 22.87 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?No 3% 36 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 7% 50 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 36% 25 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No 21% 27 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 3.8% 78.2 shares
- Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 0.4% 260 shares
- Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?Yes 39.6% 5 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?No 50% 12 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?No 52% 49 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?No 90% 57.21 shares