No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$990
Polymarket Trader
kackwurst
0x539cfcd80bb86fd078e84431e00e56c3eda41ad3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.14
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $34.14
- Potential payout
- $195.08
- Potential profit
- $160.94
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$115.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 84% 1,178.57 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 76.8% 195.08 shares