No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $7.05
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Polymarket Trader
xiang-----10
0x53a8d583bfc6cecbd343c2e738a3eaf827b062d4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.28K
- Realized PnL
- $163.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $446.86
- Potential profit
- $446.86
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.83
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.78
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.82
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.57
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.25
No position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.26
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.25
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35
Yes position
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETUp 6.6% 381.07 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETUp 38% 65.79 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 1,282.13 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.7% 1,379.14 shares
- Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No 99.4% 1,377.35 shares
- Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 806.91 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 98.9% 562.18 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.5% 1,194.98 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 98.6% 162.27 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes 99.3% 151.06 shares
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?No 97.3% 181.91 shares
- Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes 97.6% 306.35 shares