No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $278.56
- Potential payout
- $343.9
- Potential profit
- $65.34
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $126.56
Polymarket Trader
raymondzhao
0x53ada63e0f34272fe0d25c874e79d4f13f17cee9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.81K
- Realized PnL
- $356.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $201.35
- Potential payout
- $270.27
- Potential profit
- $68.92
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $205.72
- Potential payout
- $224.83
- Potential profit
- $19.11
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.72
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $210
- User PnL
- -$197.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $77
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $123
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $82.38
- Potential payout
- $166.43
- Potential profit
- $84.05
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$17.62
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $149.75
- Potential payout
- $149.82
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $108.62
- Potential payout
- $129.31
- Potential profit
- $20.69
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $8.62
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $104.1
- Potential payout
- $104.36
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $101.68
- Potential payout
- $101.73
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $101.42
- Potential payout
- $101.63
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $1.42
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $79.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $20.5
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $99.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $10.95
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $99.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $11.95
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$92
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $66.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $33.5
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $13.5
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.75
- Potential profit
- $84.75
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.01
- Potential profit
- $61.01
- User PnL
- -$59.73
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.95
- Potential profit
- $54.95
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $39.78
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- User PnL
- $2.98
Yes position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $12.18
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.95
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.88
- Potential profit
- $9.88
- User PnL
- -$6.92
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.28
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.49
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.3
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
No position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.09
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will Andrej Babiลก be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Will XRP reach $3.60 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.86
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.55
No position
Will Solana reach $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.88
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.42
No position
Will Solana reach $140 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?No 53% 100 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 60.24 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes 77% 64.94 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?Yes 82% 36.59 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 91% 54.95 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 94% 106.38 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 59% 84.75 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 60.1% 166.43 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No 98.3% 101.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 60.24 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 86.3% 115.82 shares