Polymarket Trader

jjrd

0x53d395d95538d7b0a6346770378c79001e2360ee

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $2.16K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $507.95
Potential payout: $561.27
Potential profit: $53.32
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$2.81

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $395.66
Potential payout: $401.48
Potential profit: $5.82
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $7.47

No position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $360.53
Potential payout: $363.99
Potential profit: $3.46
User PnL: $13.47

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $229.3
Potential payout: $265.09
Potential profit: $35.79
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$3.27

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $5.71
Potential payout: $131.46
Potential profit: $125.76
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $81.17
Potential payout: $81.62
Potential profit: $0.45
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $55.27
Potential payout: $74.75
Potential profit: $19.47
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $69.69
Potential payout: $74.53
Potential profit: $4.84
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $45.42
Potential payout: $52.81
Potential profit: $7.39
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $51.59
Potential payout: $52.38
Potential profit: $0.79
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $42.13
Potential payout: $49.86
Potential profit: $7.73
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $43.15
Potential payout: $45.83
Potential profit: $2.68
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.2%
Current value: $37.44
Potential payout: $45.03
Potential profit: $7.59
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $39.45
Potential payout: $41.12
Potential profit: $1.67
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $30.15
Potential payout: $35.27
Potential profit: $5.11
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $26.24
Potential payout: $32.6
Potential profit: $6.36
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$1.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.2%
Current value: $20.01
Potential payout: $23.5
Potential profit: $3.49
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $22.91
Potential payout: $22.92
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $5.22

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $21.34
Potential payout: $22.58
Potential profit: $1.24
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $22.04
Potential payout: $22.52
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $19.92
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $14.65
Potential payout: $17.55
Potential profit: $2.9
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $9.79
Potential payout: $12.55
Potential profit: $2.76
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.6% 617.28 shares
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?

No 1.7% 39.05 shares
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Even 1% 5.57 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 99% 151.52 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 25% 17.95 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Yes 12% 12.48 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 8% 243.3 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

No 98.7% 3.01 shares
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?

No 99% 3 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

No 95% 2.04 shares
Iran coup attempt by June 30?

No 99% 5 shares
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

No 80% 2.03 shares