Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
thekingback
0x53d488f47b95421ea438bff7102908ee8a8bc0a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $265.83
- Realized PnL
- $63.58
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $124.55
- Potential payout
- $129.53
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $79.08
- Potential payout
- $91.95
- Potential profit
- $12.87
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $60.24
- Potential payout
- $60.24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.14
- Potential profit
- $36.14
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.96
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.16
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Boston Red Sox position
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 87°F or below on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will London have between 20-30mm of precipitation in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 52°F or higher on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 96.5% 129.53 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 91.95 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 6?No 99.6% 60.24 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes 51% 1.96 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?No 97.3% 153.2 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 93.4% 107.07 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 83% 36.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?Yes 98.4% 10.16 shares
- Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 93.6% 20.55 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 23% 200.8 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 97.5% 112.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 21?Yes 98.8% 10.12 shares