Yes position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $449.67
- Potential payout
- $825.09
- Potential profit
- $375.42
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $177.14
Polymarket Trader
ODDSDDO
0x53e0e04aea6d734abd3ad630860911571cce4466
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $807.26
- Realized PnL
- $2.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $335.13
- Potential payout
- $383
- Potential profit
- $47.88
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.99
- Potential profit
- $166.99
- User PnL
- -$36.26
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.9%
- Current value
- $22.46
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $7.54
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $910.79
No position
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $347.4
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.9
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.98
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $148.54
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.3
No position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $91.3
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $75.24
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.8
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.09
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.42
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.21
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.7
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.12
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.54
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.9
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.9
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.5
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.7
No position
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.6
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 36% 206 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 87% 263 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 87% 120 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes 74% 20 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 27% 200 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes 74% 10 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 36.7% 269.09 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 33% 100 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 35% 150 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 95% 250 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 39% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 97% 200 shares