Polymarket Trader

kotil.eth

@ibrahimkibar_

0x53e6309768b01699af57b81a57489b8ac4606168

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $210.15
Realized PnL: $651.51
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $31.95
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$143.64

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $178.2
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$23.4

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$175

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.95

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.4

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.51

South America Rejects position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.76

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.73

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?

Yes 24% 15.06 shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Xtreme Gaming 30% 14.08 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 19% 1,200 shares
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

MOUZ 57% 52.69 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Yes 38% 335.67 shares
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?

Yes 0.5% 3,000 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 81% 400 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 17% 375.98 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 87% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 3?

Yes 51.7% 4.88 shares
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

No 6.5% 0.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Up 57% 34 shares