Polymarket Trader

.Caesar

0x53ea362387927198de8dd484d1579e2c64907417

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $1.83K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$612.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700.75
Potential profit: $700.75
User PnL: -$159.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $508.77
Potential profit: $508.77
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $311.73
Potential profit: $311.73
User PnL: -$29.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.6
Potential profit: $299.6
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.66
Potential profit: $259.66
User PnL: -$83.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.89
Potential profit: $156.89
User PnL: -$86.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.72
Potential profit: $123.72
User PnL: -$56.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.95
Potential profit: $112.95
User PnL: -$41.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $75.76
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.02
Potential profit: $51.02
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $556.67

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $536.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.52

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.73

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.49

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $62.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.73

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: $6.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.43

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$0.62

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$11.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 50.2% 1,219.8 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 99.9% 622.71 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 96% 622.72 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Yes 10% 5,980.44 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Yes 10.4% 1,939.85 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 48.2% 416.31 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Yes 11.3% 3,322.03 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 22% 625 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Yes 33.9% 699.22 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Yes 38.9% 699.23 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 45% 606.06 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 25.1% 416.31 shares