whamskiii

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.46
Potential profit: $119.46
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.64
Potential profit: $97.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $81.35
Potential profit: $79.24
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.69
Potential profit: $32.69
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.65
Potential profit: $30.65
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $25.05
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.32
Potential profit: $25.32
User PnL: -$2

Jay Dylan Friend position

Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $17.14
Potential profit: $14.17
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.23
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $10.9
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.42
Potential profit: $13.42
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $2.65
Potential payout: $11.53
Potential profit: $8.88
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $11.34
Potential profit: $8.73
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$0.23

Charles Broom position

Lincoln: Rio Noguchi vs Charles Broom

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.58
Potential profit: $10.58
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $9.38
Potential profit: $6.42
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.54
Potential profit: $8.54
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.34
Potential profit: $8.34
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 35.9%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $5.34
Multiplier: 2.79x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $6.78
Potential payout: $7.89
Potential profit: $1.1
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $5.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 40.6%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $7.32
Potential profit: $4.34
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $7.32
Potential profit: $4.65
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 36.8%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $6.34
Potential profit: $4.01
Multiplier: 2.72x
User PnL: $0.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

76ers position

Magic vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.64

Magic position

Magic vs. Pistons

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.16

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.75

Lakers position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.67

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.93

Independiente del Valle position

Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.81

Paul Inchauspe position

Pozoblanco: Paul Inchauspe vs Hamish Stewart

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.55

Over position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Over position

Viking FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Magic position

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

Flyers position

Flyers vs. Penguins

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.26

Over position

Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

Lakers position

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.86

Hawks position

Knicks vs. Hawks

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77

Athletics position

Texas Rangers vs. Athletics

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

Over position

Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.52

San Francisco Giants position

Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.39

Under position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

Stars position

Wild vs. Stars

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.58

Under position

Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5