Polymarket Trader

larper666

0x53fc351fe26796301f93a9d2cc6af9f81fddbce0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $455
Realized PnL: $2.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $455
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.04K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$1.33K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$185

No position

Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$150

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$210

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$250

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$231

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$205

No position

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $362.26
Potential profit: $362.26
User PnL: -$97.81

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.04
Potential profit: $322.04
User PnL: -$141.7

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306.13
Potential profit: $306.13
User PnL: -$97.96

Yes position

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$102

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.35
Potential profit: $256.35
User PnL: -$123.05

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248.44
Potential profit: $248.44
User PnL: -$74.53

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.67
Potential profit: $245.67
User PnL: -$100.73

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$102

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.97
Potential profit: $199.97
User PnL: -$89.99

No position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.67
Potential profit: $141.67
User PnL: -$75.08

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $1.35
User PnL: -$0.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Hawks

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.12

Bears position

Packers vs. Bears

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.05

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $140.56

Pistons position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.81

Bengals position

Spread: Bills (-6.5)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.98

Jaguars position

Spread: Colts (-2.5)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.54

No position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.21

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $83.84

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.4

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.15

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.54

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.1

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.41

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?

Yes 30% 243.11 shares
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?

Yes 32% 299.75 shares
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?

No 27% 354.15 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

No 48% 252.29 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Yes 33.4% 68.46 shares
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?

Yes 37% 277.81 shares
Packers vs. Bears

Bears 52% 288.46 shares
Packers vs. Bears

Bears 48% 193 shares
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?

No 56% 223.21 shares
Spread: Bills (-6.5)

Bengals 53% 216.98 shares
Spread: Colts (-2.5)

Jaguars 52% 211.54 shares
Magic vs. Pistons

Pistons 46.6% 214.81 shares