Polymarket Trader

ivndev

0x54034dac401d43dcb8113b16b3e7486f5e82edd5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.38K
Realized PnL: $453.26
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $692.78
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $2.33K
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $87.63

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $75.65
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$34.35

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $37.23
Potential payout: $363.23
Potential profit: $326
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$2.77

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $198.28
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $146.55
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Canada?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.06
Potential profit: $272.06
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 52.4%
Current value: $128.31
Potential payout: $245.1
Potential profit: $116.79
Multiplier: 1.91x
User PnL: -$21.69

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $112.75
Potential payout: $196.08
Potential profit: $83.33
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $12.75

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $107.5
Potential payout: $140.53
Potential profit: $33.02
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $15.6

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $22.93
Potential payout: $111.56
Potential profit: $88.63
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$3.49

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $91.5
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Canada?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.75
Potential profit: $24.75
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.45

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.68

No position

Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.12

Yes position

Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.38

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.73

No position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $35.45

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.14

Yes position

Will Brian Poindexter be the Democratic nominee for OH-07?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.74

No position

Will Ireland win the 2026 Six Nations championship?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

No position

Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $11.77

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Canada?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will the Democratic Party for the People win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.42

No position

Will Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $5.48

No position

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $4.7

No position

Another US bank failure by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

No position

Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

No position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.89

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 172.41 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 59% 169.49 shares
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 6.8% 147.06 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23.9% 1,255.23 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.3% 1,159.4 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 172.41 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 50% 200 shares
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

Yes 28% 103.44 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 23% 78.09 shares
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 5% 200 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 55% 90.91 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 39% 128.21 shares