No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $535
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $465
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $335
Polymarket Trader
myusername1234
0x540c61337451df83701e0059ed32abcd8531a8d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $765.97
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $993.49
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$28.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $42.89
- Potential payout
- $501.64
- Potential profit
- $458.75
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $23.1
- Potential payout
- $481.16
- Potential profit
- $458.06
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $9.86
- Potential payout
- $469.39
- Potential profit
- $459.53
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- $3.23
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $24.09
- Potential payout
- $235.01
- Potential profit
- $210.92
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- $8.19
No position
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $54.01
- Potential payout
- $177.08
- Potential profit
- $123.07
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$5.99
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $65.38
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $30.77
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $15.38
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $53.91
- Potential profit
- $48.76
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 4.1% 64.67 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 1.2% 17.15 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 3.6% 416.49 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes 1.1% 69.71 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 9% 501.64 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes 9.3% 53.91 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 6.7% 223.77 shares
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?No 33.9% 177.08 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 52% 96.15 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 20% 1,000 shares