Polymarket Trader

Trincheiras

0x5415e5ebd9c07d978a6a0a3c5220d0dc8bfc2159

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $410.49
Realized PnL: $124.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $84.11
Potential payout: $672.89
Potential profit: $588.78
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$101.88

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $488.41
Potential profit: $488.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$24.49

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $23.19
Potential payout: $272.79
Potential profit: $249.61
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$32.81

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $8.99
Potential payout: $207.23
Potential profit: $198.24
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$6.01

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $151.84
Potential payout: $181.84
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$1.16

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $99.45
Potential payout: $105.07
Potential profit: $5.62
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $21.29
Potential payout: $26.53
Potential profit: $5.24
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $15.13
Potential payout: $25.87
Potential profit: $10.73
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Japan?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Canada recession before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.36

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.08

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $11.46

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $11.11

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.27

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $5.53

No position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

Yes position

Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.22

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.27

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.89

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.8

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Hornets

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

LGD Gaming position

LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $1.05

1win position

Dota 2: AVULUS vs 1win (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group A

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.84

Ninjas in Pyjamas position

LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: France (-4.5)

Sweden 99.9% 100.1 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 7.5

Under 99.7% 71.21 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 8.5

Under 99.9% 29.03 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5

Under 99.8% 100.2 shares
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 99% 96.97 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?

Yes 32% 3.57 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?

Yes 27% 4.16 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Japan?

Yes 20% 5 shares