Yes position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $625.56
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $577.44
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$164.04
Polymarket Trader
asdasdasdasdasdasdasd
0x5446fe5868e4e6da0ab784b005fe423df62218f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.88K
- Realized PnL
- $24.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $541.03
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $597.98
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $73.18
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $349.99
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $779.01
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$129.21
Yes position
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Ends Oct 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Current value
- $103.99
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $957.11
- Multiplier
- 10.20x
- User PnL
- -$69.34
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $553.04
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $452.49
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $944.98
- Potential profit
- $944.98
- User PnL
- -$325.52
Yes position
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $61.43
- Potential payout
- $819
- Potential profit
- $757.58
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$36.58
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $300
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $136.93
- Potential payout
- $782.43
- Potential profit
- $645.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $6.09
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $160.61
- Potential payout
- $747
- Potential profit
- $586.4
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $138.94
Yes position
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $47.45
- Potential payout
- $730
- Potential profit
- $682.55
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$31.15
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $694.75
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$148.75
Yes position
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $230.22
- Potential payout
- $677.12
- Potential profit
- $446.9
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $11.19
No position
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $366.86
- Potential payout
- $661
- Potential profit
- $294.15
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$194.43
Yes position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $103.14
- Potential payout
- $625.1
- Potential profit
- $521.96
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$103.95
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $46.88
- Potential payout
- $625.09
- Potential profit
- $578.21
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$45.19
Yes position
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $94.88
- Potential payout
- $593.01
- Potential profit
- $498.13
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$31.4
Yes position
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $178.1
- Potential payout
- $531.64
- Potential profit
- $353.54
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$78.16
No position
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $450.76
- Potential payout
- $527.2
- Potential profit
- $76.44
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $14.59
No position
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
Ends Dec 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $109.26
- Potential payout
- $520.29
- Potential profit
- $411.03
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $31.42
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $76.5
- Potential payout
- $510
- Potential profit
- $433.5
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $11.92
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $141.68
- Potential payout
- $506
- Potential profit
- $364.32
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $60.72
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $130.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $369.75
- Multiplier
- 3.84x
- User PnL
- -$31.25
Yes position
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $67.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $432.5
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Trump position
Who will win late deciders?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29K
Yes position
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Yes position
Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Jul 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $981.25
No position
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $843.1
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $751.08
Yes position
Will Trump win 55% of voters without a college degree?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $747.42
Yes position
Major challenger to Biden for Democratic nomination?
Ends Sep 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $711.41
Yes position
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $682.86
Yes position
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $605.17
Yes position
Will Biden issue a preemptive pardon?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $563.33
No position
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.87
No position
Will Republicans have fewer than 200 seats in House after election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $536.41
No position
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.72
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $514.63
Trump position
Who will win Latino men?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.29
Yes position
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $483.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No 75% 130.69 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 16% 500 shares
- Vanta IPO before 2027?No 71.3% 55 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 82% 53 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 31.1% 50 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 33.7% 60 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 32.1% 8 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 32.1% 15 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 37.1% 5 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 37.2% 10 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 79% 10 shares
- Tom Holland as Spider-Man?No 32.8% 189.93 shares