Polymarket Trader

qw8128870

0x544a4cb9b284314e6a7c818d60095f4fd9dddbe1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $204.9
Realized PnL: $1.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.98
Potential profit: $599.98
User PnL: -$56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $500.01
User PnL: -$307

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$40.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.81
Potential profit: $499.81
User PnL: -$21.07

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $449.81
Potential profit: $449.81
User PnL: -$239.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$17.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $9.8
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $390.19
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$16.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $362.47
Potential profit: $362.47
User PnL: -$20.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$12.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $280
User PnL: -$39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $200.01
User PnL: -$1.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$113.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$24

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $195.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $4.9
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $145.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 499.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 5% 134.27 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

No 41.8% 202.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 76% 121.94 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 300 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

No 98.1% 110 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

No 96.5% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 39.8% 167.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

No 15% 41.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

No 17% 58.83 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

No 23% 0.24 shares