Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $100.42
- Potential payout
- $599.5
- Potential profit
- $499.08
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- -$9.58
Polymarket Trader
Sarinex
0x544ed705cdeef03868ee54560728a8b9b115016d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $169.96
- Realized PnL
- $323.02
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $3.56
- Potential payout
- $78.28
- Potential profit
- $74.72
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$11.44
Yes position
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $61.86
- Potential profit
- $57.84
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $9.46
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $26.25
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $4.46
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $22.51
- Potential payout
- $24.08
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $8.81
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.7
- Potential profit
- $21.7
- User PnL
- -$2.51
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $9.71
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $15.31
- Potential payout
- $18.33
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $5.81
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $9.84
- Potential profit
- $4.88
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.58
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $59.42
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.58
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.38
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.83
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.09
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $6.82
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.66
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $6.19
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Multiplier
- 3.83x
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.4% 515.46 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 14% 35.71 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.9% 84.03 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 12% 12.5 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 11% 9.2 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 55% 65.79 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 75% 48.31 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 26% 60.64 shares
- Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes 7% 51.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 22% 73.41 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 53% 28.93 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 11.6% 96.29 shares