Polymarket Trader

DavidShekel

0x54525ee78bd513b0bf75f94e560158f6fc35d448

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.54K
Realized PnL: $231.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $750
Potential payout: $500K
Potential profit: $499.25K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $250

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $660
Potential payout: $120K
Potential profit: $119.34K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Romelu Lukaku be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $177.91
Potential payout: $118.6K
Potential profit: $118.43K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.3K

Yes position

Will Donyell Malen be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $295.65
Potential payout: $118.26K
Potential profit: $117.96K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.17K

Yes position

Will Memphis Depay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $58.96
Potential payout: $117.92K
Potential profit: $117.86K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.41K

Yes position

Will Tim Payne be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $58.75
Potential payout: $117.51K
Potential profit: $117.45K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.41K

Yes position

Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $3.04K
Potential payout: $99.7K
Potential profit: $96.65K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $1.79K

Yes position

Will Depay Memphis be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $48.78
Potential payout: $97.55K
Potential profit: $97.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.17K

Yes position

Will Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa Pessoa be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $243.77
Potential payout: $97.51K
Potential profit: $97.26K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$975.06

Yes position

Will Sadio Mane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $124.51
Potential payout: $83.01K
Potential profit: $82.88K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$913.1

Yes position

Will Florian Wirtz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $116.12
Potential payout: $77.41K
Potential profit: $77.3K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$850.69

Yes position

Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $4.44K
Potential payout: $74.58K
Potential profit: $70.14K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $3.5K

Yes position

Will Bradley Barcola be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $103.12
Potential payout: $68.74K
Potential profit: $68.64K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$756.19

Yes position

Will Andrej Kramarić be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $32.22
Potential payout: $64.44K
Potential profit: $64.4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$773.23

Yes position

Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $282.81
Potential payout: $62.85K
Potential profit: $62.56K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$502.77

Yes position

Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $453.24
Potential payout: $60.43K
Potential profit: $59.98K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$302.16

Yes position

Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $210.71
Potential payout: $60.2K
Potential profit: $59.99K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$541.83

Yes position

Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $89.17
Potential payout: $59.44K
Potential profit: $59.36K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$653.89

Yes position

Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $174.38
Potential payout: $49.82K
Potential profit: $49.65K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$448.41

Yes position

Will Ivan Perišić be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $22.98
Potential payout: $45.97K
Potential profit: $45.95K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$551.62

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $476.74
Potential payout: $41.46K
Potential profit: $40.98K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $20.73

Yes position

Will Federico Valverde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $19.17
Potential payout: $38.33K
Potential profit: $38.31K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$459.97

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $659.12
Potential payout: $35.63K
Potential profit: $34.97K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $213.77

Yes position

Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.89K
Potential profit: $32.89K
User PnL: -$184.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $22.29K

Yes position

Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.8K

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $19.12K

Yes position

Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $17.73K

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.34K

Yes position

Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.39K

Yes position

Will Loic Meillard (SUI) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.93K

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $10.5K

Yes position

Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.12K

No position

Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1K

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.02K

Yes position

Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.35K

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.13K

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: $7.04K

Yes position

Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65K

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.2K

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $6.19K

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $5.63K

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4K

Yes position

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.32K

Yes position

Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $5.25K

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13K

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5K

Yes position

Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.94K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

James Rodríguez: 1+ assists

No 66% 7 shares
Luis Suárez: 1+ goals

No 60% 94.06 shares
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?

Yes 68% 438.79 shares
James Rodríguez: 1+ goals

No 72% 105 shares
Luis Díaz: 1+ assists

No 74% 21 shares
Oston Urunov: 1+ goals

Yes 6% 10.62 shares
Luis Díaz: 2+ goals

No 86% 655.13 shares
James Rodríguez: 1+ goals

No 72% 50 shares
Antoine Semenyo: 1+ assists

No 83% 271.06 shares
Harry Kane: 3+ goals

No 69% 41.47 shares
Harry Kane: 2+ goals

No 0.1% 552.94 shares
Harry Kane: 3+ goals

Yes 2.7% 511 shares