No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $1.76K
- Potential payout
- $6.52K
- Potential profit
- $4.76K
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $260.88
Polymarket Trader
WEN-ALPHA
0x54648f78e5f096f39368f5b1730e65c0f062af99
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.44K
- Realized PnL
- $29.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.29K
- Potential profit
- $6.29K
- User PnL
- -$4.21K
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.5K
- User PnL
- -$990
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $58.8
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$332.56
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $617.31
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $945.5
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$336.03
No position
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $929.55
- Potential profit
- $929.55
- User PnL
- -$440.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08K
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Will Donald Trump be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $997.2
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $990.36
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $973.46
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $957.41
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $956.87
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $954.29
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $869.99
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $853.11
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $660.86
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $659.17
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $624.44
No position
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $619.99
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $617.12
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $489.24
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436
Yes position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $435
No position
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 23% 6,521.74 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 17.5% 2,476 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 26% 1,153.85 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 24.7% 1,322.16 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 847.46 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 847.46 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 51.1% 3,854.13 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 53% 943.4 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 53.9% 556.35 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 67% 1,044.78 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?No 49% 300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 69.8% 2,149.36 shares