Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $365.52
- Potential payout
- $465.63
- Potential profit
- $100.11
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$34.48
Polymarket Trader
michael777
0x546f0c7bd08a5990a0c1a117ef420965eb1dc3c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $456.7
- Realized PnL
- $314.96
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $49.43
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $41.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.98
- Potential profit
- $6.98
- User PnL
- -$6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.8
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.26
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.25
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.2
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.07
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.78
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.86
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.64
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.37
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.04
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on July 21?
Ends Jul 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 78% 128.21 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 85% 117.65 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 86% 6.98 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 91% 219.78 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 97.3% 11.15 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 50 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5% 428.38 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.2% 305.5 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.8% 102.25 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.9% 163.43 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.6% 51.76 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 56% 15.93 shares