No position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $18.98
- Potential payout
- $19.03
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.48
Polymarket Trader
amblified
0x547695835d20a484403eb7a90ec80b6e4956a0fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.11
- Realized PnL
- $63.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $10.14
- Potential payout
- $10.3
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.49
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.63
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
No position
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Tim Walz drop out by March 31?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will Trump visit Minneapolis-Saint Paul by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes 97.9% 5.11 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 28% 3.07 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 65% 3.08 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?No 96% 2.6 shares
- Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?No 97.1% 10.3 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 91.7% 11.04 shares
- Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?No 97.2% 19.03 shares
- Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No 99.3% 10.33 shares
- SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Yes 86.3% 3.17 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 90.5% 11.05 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 91.1% 12.07 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No 77% 10 shares