Polymarket Trader

0x54A598106e0467DaCc1A4cEd3909582f72aAEe3D-1723093936269

0x54a598106e0467dacc1a4ced3909582f72aaee3d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $122.77K
Realized PnL: $69.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $54.88K
Potential payout: $399.15K
Potential profit: $344.27K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$9.03K

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $11.31K
Potential payout: $170K
Potential profit: $158.7K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$3.74K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $12.85K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $87.15K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $2.35K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $10.12K
Potential payout: $76.97K
Potential profit: $66.85K
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $2.98K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $2.83K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $47.18K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $26.16K
Potential payout: $41.2K
Potential profit: $15.04K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $5.64K

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.81K
Potential profit: $37.81K
User PnL: -$629.06

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.27K
Potential profit: $30.27K
User PnL: -$599.77

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.25K
Potential profit: $29.25K
User PnL: -$1.84K

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $4.21K
Potential payout: $21.59K
Potential profit: $17.38K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$8.44K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$100

Timberwolves position

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.14K
Potential profit: $13.14K
User PnL: -$4K

Yes position

Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.42K
Potential profit: $11.42K
User PnL: -$205.56

Yes position

Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.27K
Potential profit: $10.27K
User PnL: -$314.7

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $149.92
Potential payout: $9.09K
Potential profit: $8.94K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$41.07

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33K
Potential profit: $8.33K
User PnL: -$999.99

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.85K
Potential profit: $7.85K
User PnL: -$392.44

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.92K
Potential profit: $6.92K
User PnL: -$200.7

Wolves position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.76K
Potential profit: $6.76K
User PnL: -$1.99K

Yes position

Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.34K
Potential profit: $6.34K
User PnL: -$133.08

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $246.5
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.65K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$739.49

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.12K
User PnL: -$36.02

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $11.56
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.77K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$442.13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.59K
User PnL: -$763.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.01K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.63K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 March 16-22?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.79K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.81K

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.02K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: $4.71K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54K

Yes position

Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

Yes position

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $826.62

Yes position

Will Kamala say "Artificial Intelligence" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $647.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $641.8

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $507.79

Yes position

China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $462.2

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.08

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.9

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.39

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.35

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.5% 100,000 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 96,614.33 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.5% 70,000 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.1% 63,046 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 50,000 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.4% 50,000 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.2% 27,425.21 shares
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Timberwolves 26.8% 10,671.53 shares
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Timberwolves 46.1% 2,469.31 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.8% 50,000 shares
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Wolves 20% 1,250 shares
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Wolves 23% 1,304.35 shares