Polymarket Trader

53asdad

0x54c6725136cc1db91603941d49506085e428e5c2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $63.9
Realized PnL: $56.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $857.48
Potential profit: $857.48
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will Hurricanes lead the 2026 Stanley Cup 2-1 through 3 games?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $766.4
Potential profit: $766.4
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Josh Turek win the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary by between 20% and 30%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $14.98
Potential payout: $713.3
Potential profit: $698.32
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $12.52

Yes position

Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $583.43
Potential profit: $581.39
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Robert Lewandowski score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $567.63
Potential profit: $567.63
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $529.75
Potential profit: $527.36
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $5.83
Potential payout: $507.3
Potential profit: $501.47
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $7.96
Potential payout: $482.22
Potential profit: $474.27
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $6.33

No position

Will Golden Knights lead the 2026 Stanley Cup 2-1 through 3 games?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $404.58
Potential profit: $404.58
User PnL: -$4.71

Yes position

Will there be 5+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.74
Potential profit: $351.74
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $8.12
Potential payout: $312.44
Potential profit: $304.32
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: $3.53

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $278.75
Potential profit: $277.21
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Rayan win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $269.7
Potential profit: $269.3
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will Julian Champagnie score 40+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262.18
Potential profit: $262.18
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $247.36
Potential profit: $247.36
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be at least 2.50T?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.08
Potential profit: $243.08
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Will BMO fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $227.14
Potential profit: $225.66
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $220.77
Potential profit: $219.33
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $210.01
Potential profit: $207.39
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Xinyu Wang be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $209.37
Potential profit: $209.06
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will the Green Party (MP) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $204.03
Potential profit: $202.3
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $201.35
Potential profit: $200.44
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $193.69
Potential profit: $191.36
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Kobbie Mainoo win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $9.83
Potential payout: $190.78
Potential profit: $180.96
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $8.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Yan Diomande win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Multiplier: 9.35x
User PnL: $7.11

Yes position

Will there be 1+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13

No position

Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: $3.42

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $3.26

No position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $3.02

No position

Will Micron (MU) close above $980 end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $2.68

Yes position

Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $2.41

Yes position

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.3%
Multiplier: 1.99x
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will the median home value in the US be between $431,000 and $433,000 on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $1.67

Pedri position

World Cup Goal Contributions H2H: Vitinha vs. Pedri

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend UFC Freedom 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will Micron (MU) close above $880 end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the June meeting?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $1.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 8.36 shares
Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 8.36 shares
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.1% 11.5 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 56% 8.86 shares
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?

Yes 18% 6.7 shares
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?

Yes 18% 20.2 shares
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?

Yes 13% 8.22 shares
Will Hurupay launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Yes 32% 6.84 shares
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?

Yes 19% 9.76 shares
Will Jett Williams win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

Yes 0.1% 9.8 shares
Will Zac Veen win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

Yes 0.1% 19.3 shares
Will Zac Veen win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

Yes 0.1% 29.3 shares